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Dallas is set to host the West-leading Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday, their final home game before playing eight of their next nine games on the road.
OKC is fresh off a hard-fought OT victory against conference foes Denver, while Dallas is coming off an equally crucial matchup against Memphis, and it’s safe to say both teams were pretty happy with the outcomes of their last games.
This matchup should prove to be a much easier walk for both teams to get where they’d like to go, as Oklahoma has defeated Dallas twice already this season, the last victory coming in the form of a 21-point drubbing back in early December. Though with Dallas owning the Thunder’s first this season (currently the 29th pick as Detroit has the league’s best winning percentage), Thunder losses should also be of interest to Mavs fans with an eye towards the future
Flaggless in Dallas
Even in a season where the goal isn’t to compete for a championship, or even a postseason birth for that matter, when you have a player like Cooper Flagg put together a historic rookie performance, there’s still reason for engaged viewing. It’s unlikely that Flagg, who’s been out of action since the All Star break with a foot injury, will return to the floor quite yet. He’s officially a game-time decision as of this writing.
That’s all well and good, but for fans’ sake, hopefully at least some of the younger core will be back in action after nearly all of them were out for the Memphis game. With no Flagg and Derek Lively out for the season, the only young guys Mavs fans have to watch in hopes of future development are the recently re-signed Ryan Nembhard and perhaps Marvin Bagley, should the Org see fit to keep him around after this season.
A perfect storm
For a team like Oklahoma City, going 6-and-4 over their last 10 games is a bout as close to a “slump” as you’re going to get. Comparing the team’s performance in wins and losses over those games, it’s actually remarkable how little difference there is in how the Thunder perform, suggesting that Thunder losses are more about opponent overperformance than their own underperformance. Field goal attempts, rebounds, free throw attempts are all about equal between wins and losses for Oklahoma City.
About the only notable difference is, in their wins, the Thunder take fewer threes and shoot about 8% better from the floor, and their opponents score about 108 points versus scoring just 115 in games they lose.
So I suppose the blueprint for beating the Thunder is to try and catch them on an off shooting night where they’re settling for more threes and hope your own team gets a little hot. Otherwise, good luck to you.
About the on
Dwight Powell, Mr. Maverick
They’ll never make me hate you, Dwight Powell. From Rondo-trade throw-in, to putting up historically efficient offensive numbers (his 2021-22 season is second all-time for Ortg), to a guy who has survived every roster shakeup since the Nowitzki era. He’s gotten to where he is by never trying to do more than he was capable of, filling a specific role, and being the ultimate team-first kind of guy. Who is more deserving to just go out there and run amok for a while? Powell’s three-point shooting experiment ended after 2018-19 (a big reason his offensive efficiency spiked after that), and the most he’s taken in a season since then is 39. Fewer than one attempt every two games. He’s had five or fewer the past three seasons, on only three so far this year. Let him shoot. He should work to surpass his season’s worth of three-point attempts in a single game. Also, I want to see if Adam Silver considers letting Dwight Powell shoot seven threes in a game worthy of a fine for anti-competitive practices.
How to watch/listen
You can watch the game at 7:00 pm on KFAA Channel 29 or MAVS TV (streaming), or listen at 97.1FM KEGL (English), and 99.1FM KFZO (Spanish).